Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 9.830725 11.559817 13.458660 15.692568 18.242312 21.055225 24.386551
2025-01-19 7.276981 9.524287 12.220783 15.669622 19.935892 25.010770 31.471818
2025-01-26 6.037922 8.630488 11.973028 16.541264 22.556350 30.133152 40.314383
2025-02-02 5.112300 7.890559 11.701138 17.209305 24.847965 34.930562 49.080490
2025-02-09 4.458622 7.366898 11.578512 17.968581 27.230160 39.944581 58.443027
2025-02-16 3.750739 6.618993 10.994211 17.942805 28.436042 43.370805 65.824088
2025-02-23 3.074837 5.790896 10.150021 17.385074 28.746788 45.476994 71.411166
2025-03-02 2.509502 5.038217 9.302514 16.686264 28.719944 47.014419 76.192424
2025-03-09 2.173443 4.621819 8.936735 16.691821 29.745689 50.144894 83.481673
2025-03-16 1.902696 4.275949 8.637828 16.757370 30.842694 53.420939 91.152693
2025-03-23 1.660201 3.940536 8.307753 16.718743 31.738067 56.404308 98.506830
2025-03-30 1.389063 3.496404 7.713176 16.130978 31.623298 57.712941 103.224553
2025-04-06 1.215740 3.234663 7.443691 16.129718 32.564603 60.880889 111.258123
2025-04-13 1.062777 2.989633 7.174111 16.096552 33.441388 63.994139 119.390157
2025-04-20 1.009510 2.969416 7.366044 16.985475 36.084495 70.310268 133.281026
2025-04-27 0.943451 2.905166 7.453726 17.667962 38.382402 76.144841 146.640096
2025-05-04 0.889962 2.862873 7.582848 18.444395 40.911695 82.526549 161.264534
2025-05-11 0.788211 2.671279 7.346363 18.417908 41.853846 86.070888 171.039754
2025-05-18 0.667855 2.400663 6.884773 17.847289 41.648246 87.467877 177.012892
2025-05-25 0.557654 2.132292 6.386365 17.132290 41.073886 88.114335 181.619465
2025-06-01 0.496930 2.000929 6.211762 17.137972 41.999272 91.660486 191.735143
2025-06-08 0.445925 1.888720 6.070442 17.205041 43.055328 95.509137 202.588961
2025-06-15 0.396627 1.769942 5.893704 17.165517 43.870263 98.917455 212.753811